The Minnesota Twins and the Baltimore Orioles will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Camden Yards.
The Twins will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Carl Pavano in this game. Pavano has a 11-6 record and a 3.48 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Orioles will be Kevin Millwood. The righthander has a 5.77 ERA to go along with a 2-8 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Twins listed as 175-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total is sitting at 9.
The Indians were shut down 6-0 by the Twins last time out, as +180 underdogs. The teams played UNDER that game’s posted over/under (8) set by sportsbooks.
Jake Westbrook gave up six hits and four runs over six innings in suffering the Indians defeat.
Ty Wigginton went deep for a two-run homer in the Orioles 5-4 loss to the Rays last time out, as +180 underdogs. That game’s nine runs went UNDER the day’s posted over/under (9.5) set by sportsbooks. Brad Bergesen surrendered nine hits and five runs over his 5 1-3 innings in the loss.
My baseball handicapping software predicts that Minnesota will win.
Team records:
Minnesota: 50-45 SU
Baltimore: 30-64 SU
Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Baltimore are 6-4
After playing Cleveland are 7-3
After a win are 3-7
Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 1-9
Before playing Minnesota are 4-6
After playing Tampa Bay are 4-6
After a loss are 3-7
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota’s last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore’s last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Minnesota
Stats and article courtesy of Chalk